It’s an interesting year. Only one film is a true, ground-breaking masterpiece, but all of the films in the mix are good – very good. Common wisdom seems to suggest that the one that I found least brilliant is going to triumph on the night in the top two categories, but by my reckoning, the best film of the year is going to take home six Oscars – no mean feat for a bonkers action movie that is the third sequel to a crazy little unregulated Ozploitation flick from the late 70s.
Listen to the Podcast version of this stuff here: https://itunes.apple.com/au/podcast/movieland/id668507582?mt=2
SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
Bear Story
Prologue
Sanjay’s Super Team
We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: World of Tomorrow
SOUND EDITING
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
SOUND MIXING
Bridge of Spies
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
ORIGINAL SONG
SHOULD WIN: ‘Earned It’ – Fifty Shades of Grey
‘Manta Ray’ – Racing Extinction
‘Simple Song No. 3’ – Youth
WILL WIN: ‘Till it Happens to You’ – The Hunting Ground
‘Writing’s on the Wall’ – Spectre
MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
Burwell’s score for Carol is perfect. But Morricone is old, the maestro of western scores, and only has an “honorary” Oscar.
Thomas Newman – Bridge of Spies
SHOULD WIN: Carter Burwell – Carol
WILL WIN: Ennio Morricone – The Hateful Eight
Johann Johannsson – Sicario
John Williams – Star Wars: The Force Awakens
VISUAL EFFECTS
This will be where Star Wars gets one – or will Mad Max: Fury Road get this too?
Ex Machina
SHOULD WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
WILL WIN: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed out the Window and Disappeared
The Revenant
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
COSTUME DESIGN
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
FILM EDITING
If The Big Short wins here, then the whole night may go a different way. But until that happens:
The Big Short
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Spotlight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: The Revenant
Sicario
WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
The best category of the night. All deserve the award. What a year for adaptations!
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Charles Randolph and Adam McKay – The Big Short
Nick Hornby – Brooklyn
Phyllis Nagy – Carol
Drew Goddard – The Martian
Emma Donoghue – Room
WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
It would be deeply embarrassing if the academy voters tried to “give one to black artists” in this year of The Diversity Oscars, only to see the white authors of Straight Outta Compton ascend the stage. Awkward!
Matt Charman, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen – Bridge of Spies
Alex Garland – Ex Machina
Pete Doctor, Meg LeFauce, and Josh Cooley – Inside Out
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Josh Singer and Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
Jonathan Herman, Andrea Berloff – Straight Outta Compton
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Alicia Vikanda plays a leading role in The Danish Girl and should have been nominated in the Lead Actress category – or at least submitted for it. She should not win a supporting Oscar, but she will.
SHOULD WIN: Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara – Carol
Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
WILL WIN: Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Again, there were better supporting performances this year – including John Cusack, for example, in Love and Mercy. Tom Hardy would deserve it, but Sly will get it.
Christian Bale – The Big Short
SHOULD WIN: Tom Hardy – The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
WILL WIN: Sylvester Stallone – Creed
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Really, the Best Actor of 2015 was Paul Dano in Love and Mercy, and he’s not nominated. Fassbender is the best of a very misguided, incomplete list. But it’s “Leo’s year,” right?
Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
Matt Damon – The Martian
WILL WIN: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
SHOULD WIN: Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Saoirse Ronan made Brooklyn work in an old-fashioned star vehicle but Brie Larson made you believe she was the mother of that kid – plus everything else.
Cate Blanchett – Carol
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Brie Larson – Room
Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Amy
Cartel Land
The Look Of Silence
What Happened, Miss Simone?
Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight For Freedom
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
SHOULD WIN: Anamolisa
Boy and the World
WILL WIN: Inside Out
Shaun The Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Colombia – Embrace of the Serpent
France – Mustang
SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Hungary – Son of Saul
Jordan – Theeb
Denmar – A War
DIRECTING
Up until the Director’s Guild Awards, I thought George Miller was going to win here. Now I think the DGA winner will, giving him two in a row (he won this category last year for Birdman).
Adam McKay – The Big Short
SHOULD WIN: George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
WILL WIN: Alejandro González Iñárritu – The Revenant
Lenny Abramson, Room
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
BEST FILM
My opinions here have been previously expressed and haven’t changed. The Revenant is gorgeous, but Mad Max: Fury Road is a game-changing cinematic masterpiece.
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
SHOULD WIN: Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
WILL WIN: The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Enjoy the Oscars folks!
You are very often right, CJ so I enjoy checking the score afterwards…